I've always believed investing is, at its core, a simple thing: find truly exceptional businesses, buy them at a reasonable price, and hold for the long term.
But "simple" doesn't mean "easy." Getting it right takes judgment, patience, the discipline to stay calm when markets move, and a consistent set of principles. That's what Benfen means to me — only invest in what you understand, and never do what you shouldn't.
Buffett, Munger, Duan Yongping — they have had a profound influence on me. They're all saying the same thing: great business, great people, right price. I look for companies run by management I trust, with genuinely strong cultures and durable competitive advantages — then let time do what it does.
我一直相信,投资本质上是一件很简单的事:找到真正优秀的企业,以合理的价格买入,然后长期持有。
但"简单"不等于"容易"。能做到这件事,靠的是认知,是耐心,是在市场波动时的定力,还有一套始终如一的原则。这就是我理解的"本分"——只做看得懂的事,不做不该做的事。
巴菲特、芒格、段永平,他们对我有深刻的影响。他们说的其实是同一件事:好生意、好的人、合理的价格。我专注于寻找由值得信赖的管理层经营、有真正优秀企业文化、护城河坚实的公司——然后让时间做它该做的事。
Investing is not frequent trading. It is ownership.
投资不是频繁交易,是拥有。
Cash sitting still is quietly shrinking. Not because you spent it — inflation is doing that for you. Owning great businesses is how wealth actually holds its value.
钱放在那里,会悄悄变少。不是因为你花了,是通胀在稀释它。投资好企业,才能让财富真正保值增值。
Idle money is losing ground. Put it to work as ownership in great businesses — and let those businesses earn and compound on your behalf.
钱闲着,其实是在亏损。把它变成优秀企业的一部分,让企业替你赚钱、替你复利。
Real freedom is not having to check your paycheck. When your assets are doing the work, you get to live life on your own terms.
真正的自由,是不用每天盯着工资单。当资产开始替你工作,你才能按自己的方式生活。
"Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it... he who doesn't... pays it." — Albert Einstein
"复利是世界第八大奇迹。" — 阿尔伯特·爱因斯坦
Initial investment: $100,000
初始投资:$100,000
| Annual return年回报率 | $100,000 after 10y10年后 | $100,000 after 20y20年后 | $100,000 after 30y30年后 | Last decade value creation %最后十年价值创造百分比 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% | $110,462 | $122,019 | $134,785 | 9.0% |
| 7% | $196,715 | $386,968 | $761,226 | 49.2% |
| 15% | $404,556 | $1,636,654 | $6,621,100 | 75.3% |
| 20% | $619,174 | $3,833,760 | $23,737,600 | 83.8% |
| 30% | $1,378,584 | $19,005,000 | $261,817,000 | 92.8% |
The first decade impresses you.
第一个十年,让你刮目相看。
The second decade astounds you.
第二个十年,让你叹为观止。
The third decade makes you a true believer.
第三个十年,让你彻底相信复利的力量。
My hope is to build lasting wealth for myself and my family across generations — through long-term ownership of truly exceptional businesses worldwide. Like collecting fine art, I collect businesses worth owning forever.
我希望通过长期持有全球卓越企业,为自己和家人实现跨代的财富积累和增值。就像收藏艺术品一样,去收藏那些真正值得长期拥有的企业。
Doing the right thing, and doing things right.
做对的事情,把事情做对。
Only invest in what I truly understand. If I can't explain why it's still worth holding in ten years, I don't touch it.
只投资真正看得懂的东西。说不清楚为什么十年后还值得持有,就不碰。
Think in decades, not quarters. Time is the best friend a wonderful business can have.
不以季度看问题,以十年看。时间是优秀企业最好的朋友。
Rule No. 1: Don't lose money. Rule No. 2: Don't forget Rule No. 1.
规则一:不要亏钱。规则二:不要忘记规则一。
Think for yourself, then decide. The world keeps changing — staying curious is the only way to keep up.
自己想清楚,再做决定。世界一直在变,持续学习是唯一跟上的方式。
Knowing but not doing is no better than not knowing at all. Every position is my own money and my own conviction.
知道但做不到,还不如不知道。每一笔持仓都是自己的钱、自己的信念。
"If you don't understand the first principles of what you are doing, you are likely to be swayed by the crowd." — Elon Musk
"如果你不理解你所做的事情的第一性原理,你很可能被大众所左右。" — 埃隆·马斯克
I tried to start from scratch — no borrowed conclusions, no received wisdom — and think through investing on my own terms. These are the four answers I arrived at.
我试着从零开始,不借助任何现成结论,独立想清楚投资这件事。以下是我得出的四个答案。
A partial ownership interest in a living, breathing business.
对一个活生生的企业的部分所有权。
The ability to keep generating cash over the long run. A business that keeps making money is a business with real value.
长期持续赚钱的能力。企业能一直赚钱,才有真正的价值。
A moat — something that keeps competitors out and keeps profits intact.
护城河——让竞争对手进不来,让利润守得住。
Price must be below value. Even the best business will disappoint if you overpay. Price is the one starting point you can actually control and must control.
价格要低于价值。再好的企业,买贵了也会让人失望。价格是你唯一能控制、也必须控制的起点。
Long-term Investing Return = Business Quality × Time ÷ Price Paid
长期投资回报 = 企业质量 × 持有期限 ÷ 买入价格
Quality sets the ceiling. Time builds the height. Price is your starting point.
质量决定天花板,时间决定高度,价格决定你的起点。
Be a business owner, not a stock operator.
做股东,不做操盘手。
Buying stocks means buying businesses, not guessing the market. Not every opportunity is worth acting on — I only invest when four things are true at once: I understand the business, it has a moat, management is trustworthy, and the price is right.
Like Ted Williams, who divided the strike zone into 77 cells and only swung at his best ones — investing isn't about hitting everything. It's about swinging hard when the right pitch comes. Most prices the market throws at me are just pitches I'm happy to let go by.
Two things to avoid in investing: trading too often, and not buying enough when it really counts. When the moment comes, act decisively. When it doesn't, do nothing — protect capital, wait for the right moment. The ability to wait is a skill in itself.
买股票买的是公司,不是猜行情。不是所有机会都值得出手——只在四件事同时成立的时候才动:看得懂,有护城河,管理层靠谱,价格合适。
就像 Ted Williams 把好球区分成 77 个小格,只在最好的格子里挥棒——投资不是什么都打,而是在真正重要的机会出现时,重仓出击。市场每天抛来的价格,大多只是"球",一笑而过就好。
投资要避免两件事:频繁出手,和该出手时下手太轻。机会来了,果断出手;没有机会,什么都不做——守住资本,静待时机。等,也是一种能力。
"Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing." — Warren Buffett
I define risk as the permanent loss of capital. As Charlie Munger said, "Invert. Always invert." I avoid capital destroyers like plague.
I won't do any of the above.
Most people think the most important thing in investing is what you buy. That's only half right. How well you do as an investor depends just as much on what you don't do - on the ability to say no.
投资中最重要的事,多数人以为是买了什么。这只对了一半。投资成功与否,很大程度上也取决于没有去做的事,也就是说"不"的能力。
Read More → 阅读更多 →Duan Yongping has said that the most important thing he learned from Warren Buffett is a single sentence: "Buying stocks is buying companies." This is not a slogan. It is the foundation of his entire system.
段永平说过,从巴菲特那里学到的最重要的一句话,是:"买股票就是买公司。" 这不是口号,是他整个体系的地基。
Read More → 阅读更多 →Buffett's teacher, Ben Graham, drew a line in the opening of The Intelligent Investor: an investment is something that, after thorough analysis, promises safety of principal and an adequate return. Anything that doesn't meet those conditions is speculation.
巴菲特的老师格雷厄姆在《聪明的投资者》开篇就下了一个定义:投资是经过深入分析后,能保障本金安全并获得合理回报的行为。不满足这些条件的,就是投机。
Read More → 阅读更多 →